Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000100 0.000111 0.000122 0.000134 0.000148 0.000163 0.000180
2026-02-08 0.000080 0.000094 0.000111 0.000132 0.000157 0.000187 0.000224
2026-02-15 0.000066 0.000083 0.000103 0.000129 0.000163 0.000204 0.000261
2026-02-22 0.000059 0.000076 0.000099 0.000130 0.000172 0.000227 0.000305
2026-03-01 0.000053 0.000072 0.000097 0.000133 0.000183 0.000251 0.000354
2026-03-08 0.000047 0.000066 0.000091 0.000129 0.000185 0.000264 0.000387
2026-03-15 0.000042 0.000060 0.000086 0.000125 0.000184 0.000272 0.000413
2026-03-22 0.000039 0.000057 0.000084 0.000126 0.000192 0.000292 0.000460
2026-03-29 0.000037 0.000055 0.000083 0.000128 0.000200 0.000314 0.000512
2026-04-05 0.000034 0.000052 0.000080 0.000126 0.000202 0.000326 0.000548
2026-04-12 0.000031 0.000049 0.000078 0.000125 0.000207 0.000343 0.000594
2026-04-19 0.000029 0.000047 0.000075 0.000123 0.000208 0.000354 0.000631
2026-04-26 0.000027 0.000045 0.000073 0.000124 0.000214 0.000373 0.000687
2026-05-03 0.000025 0.000042 0.000070 0.000122 0.000216 0.000387 0.000732
2026-05-10 0.000023 0.000040 0.000067 0.000119 0.000215 0.000396 0.000772
2026-05-17 0.000022 0.000038 0.000066 0.000120 0.000223 0.000420 0.000843
2026-05-24 0.000021 0.000037 0.000066 0.000122 0.000232 0.000449 0.000930
2026-05-31 0.000020 0.000035 0.000063 0.000119 0.000232 0.000458 0.000973
2026-06-07 0.000018 0.000033 0.000060 0.000115 0.000228 0.000461 0.001003
2026-06-14 0.000017 0.000032 0.000060 0.000116 0.000235 0.000486 0.001088
2026-06-21 0.000017 0.000031 0.000059 0.000118 0.000243 0.000514 0.001182
2026-06-28 0.000016 0.000030 0.000057 0.000116 0.000244 0.000526 0.001239
2026-07-05 0.000015 0.000029 0.000056 0.000115 0.000248 0.000547 0.001320